THE WINNER AND LOSER OF NOVEMBER 2024
If there's one certainty, it's that there will be a winner and a loser in the American presidential election on November 5, 2024.
But all observers agree that the outcome has never been so impossible to predict...
According to statistics, to win a presidential election a candidate must win 90% of the votes of all the voters in his or her party. In 2020, Donald Trump and Joe Biden each won 94% of their party's votes. The result was determined by the undecided vote (voters with no party affiliation).
In 2024, both candidates are criticized by their own parties. Joe Biden scores 70% from members of the Democratic Party, who found him too old and too weak...
Everyone recognizes Donald Trump's energy, but the Republican party finds him too unpredictable and provocative...
Also, one worrying probability is that the vice-president of the next election will become the president during his term, given the advanced age of the two presidential candidates.
This means that the choice of co-presidential candidates will have to be more selective than usual.
If there's one conclusion to be drawn, it's that Americans always do things in a complicated way, and the outcome of their elections is always difficult to predict.
Personally, I obviously fully support my mentor Donald Trump, but I don't have the right to vote...
Stay tuned!
SEE STORY FROM THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
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